We said: Lorient 1-1 Metz
A home game against the division's bottom-placed side is as ideal as it gets for Lorient in their efforts to pull clear of the relegation zone. However, they face a Metz outfit who have their backs against the wall, and we think that the visitors will do enough to earn a point.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.