Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
40.33% (![]() | 23.28% (![]() | 36.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.64% (![]() | 37.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.42% (![]() | 59.58% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% (![]() | 18.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.47% (![]() | 50.53% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% (![]() | 20.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.49% (![]() | 53.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 8.56% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 10.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.09% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |