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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lyon

PSG
4 - 1
Lyon

Matic (3' og.), Beraldo (6'), Ramos (32', 42')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Nuamah (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-4 PSG
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 4-3 Brest
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 1-1 Lyon

After the elation of Tuesday night, we are expecting a potentially limp performance from PSG on Sunday, when Lyon could end up earning a result from their visit to the French capital. Les Gones are enjoying a good run of form and will be confident of upsetting the odds at Parc des Princes this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLyon
47.17% (0.168 0.17) 23.06% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 29.76% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 62.3% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.31% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)38.68% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.01% (-0.163 -0.16)60.98% (0.16 0.16)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.73% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.65% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.191 -0.19)25.17% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.262 -0.26)59.89% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 47.17%
    Lyon 29.76%
    Draw 23.05%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLyon
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 47.17%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.76%

How you voted: PSG vs Lyon

Paris Saint-Germain
72.5%
Draw
17.5%
Lyon
10.0%
80
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Lyon
1-4
PSG
Tolisso (74' pen.)
Tolisso (3'), Maitland-Niles (58')
Mbappe (4' pen., 45+2'), Hakimi (20'), Asensio (38')
Hernandez (48'), Zaire-Emery (73')
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
PSG
0-1
Lyon
Barcola (56')
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Lyon
0-1
PSG
Messi (5')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lyon
1-1
PSG
Paqueta (7')
Palmieri (84'), Boateng (90')
Kehrer (76')
Verratti (43'), Dagba (59')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
PSG
2-1
Lyon
Neymar (66' pen.), Icardi (90+2')
di Maria (6'), Marquinhos (67'), Mendes (89')
Paqueta (54')
Lopes (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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