Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Lille | 2 | 3 | 4 |
4 | Marseille | 2 | 3 | 4 |
5 | Toulouse | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Nice | 2 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Brest | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
60.58% ( 0.61) | 21.71% ( -0.2) | 17.72% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.44% ( 0.25) | 45.56% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.11% ( 0.23) | 67.89% ( -0.23) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.42% ( 0.28) | 14.58% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.34% ( 0.53) | 42.66% ( -0.53) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.67% ( -0.32) | 39.33% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.97% ( -0.3) | 76.03% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |