Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 12.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.