Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
52.16% (![]() | 23.12% (![]() | 24.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% (![]() | 42.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% (![]() | 65.3% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% (![]() | 16.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.8% (![]() | 46.2% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% (![]() | 30.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% (![]() | 67.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.73% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 10.78% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.32% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 24.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 53 |
2 | Marseille | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 43 |
3 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 31 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |