Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes1 - 1Marseille
We said: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Given that Marseille already lead Nantes by six points, we expect the visitors to secure a third victory in four league matches on Friday, although the hosts will likely make life difficult for OM. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Marseille |
20.31% ( -0.11) | 23.83% ( -0.01) | 55.86% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
