MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 01:48:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Marseille

Ajaccio
1 - 0
Marseille

Vidal (88')
Soumano (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balerdi (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 0-3 Marseille

Ajaccio are going down with an almighty whimper and have suffered numerous heavy defeats in recent weeks. Despite some poor form of their own recently, Marseille should have more than enough to get the job done comfortably in Corsica. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.18%) and 0-3 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
AjaccioDrawMarseille
11.39% (-0.981 -0.98) 20.25% (-0.215 -0.22) 68.36% (1.199 1.2)
Both teams to score 40.78% (-2.229 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (-1.364 -1.36)51.95% (1.365 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-1.191 -1.19)73.69% (1.193 1.19)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.55% (-2.561 -2.56)52.45% (2.564 2.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.7% (-1.715 -1.72)86.3% (1.717 1.72)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)14.22% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.05% (-0.123 -0.12)41.95% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 11.39%
    Marseille 68.34%
    Draw 20.25%
AjaccioDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-1 @ 3.03% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 1.55% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.39%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.309 -0.31)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.25%
0-1 @ 14.54% (0.74 0.74)
0-2 @ 14.18% (0.69 0.69)
0-3 @ 9.23% (0.429 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 4.5% (0.199 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-5 @ 1.76% (0.074 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 68.34%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Marseille

Ajaccio
9.7%
Draw
12.9%
Marseille
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 4pm
gameweek 10
Marseille
1-2
Ajaccio
Payet (15' pen.)
Moussiti-Oko (25'), Balerdi (47' og.)
Apr 4, 2014 7.30pm
Marseille
3-1
Ajaccio
Ayew (4', 60', 77')
Morel (90')
Tallo (62')
Nov 22, 2013 7.30pm
Ajaccio
1-3
Marseille
Perozo (31')
Cavalli (18'), Pierazzi (49'), Perozo (53'), Demba Camara (84')
Payet (27'), Gignac (39'), Thauvin (58')
Thauvin (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG21165058203853
2Marseille21134445252043
3Nice21107441261537
4MonacoMonaco2111463728937
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest21101103336-331
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse217682324-127
11Auxerre216692935-624
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes214982432-821
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2153131945-2618
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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