Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.