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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Montpellier
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Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Monaco

PSG
1 - 1
Monaco

Neymar (70' pen.)
Neymar (5'), Kimpembe (77'), Verratti (86'), Hakimi (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Volland (20')
Akliouche (40'), Camara (55'), Badiashile (90+1'), Henrique (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 1-4 Lens
Saturday, August 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Monaco

We expect to see a reaction from Monaco after their heavy defeat to Lens last week, but it is unlikely to be enough to prevent PSG from winning. Galtier's side look more free-flowing in attack than ever with more defensive security than before, too, and they could be a tough train to stop in their tracks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.88%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 8.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMonaco
77.88% (0.15300000000001 0.15) 13.57% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06) 8.55% (-0.097900000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.4% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)29.6% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.29% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)50.7% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)6.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.83% (0.033999999999992 0.03)23.17% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)43.08% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (-0.228 -0.23)79.36% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 77.87%
    Monaco 8.55%
    Draw 13.57%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMonaco
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.58% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 6.7% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 3.75% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.75% (0.015 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 77.87%
1-1 @ 6.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.57%
1-2 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 0.93% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 8.55%

How you voted: PSG vs Monaco

Paris Saint-Germain
91.4%
Draw
7.5%
Monaco
1.1%
93
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 12pm
Monaco
3-0
PSG
Ben Yedder (25', 84' pen.), Volland (68')
Martins (30'), Volland (65'), Tchouameni (74')

Mbappe (52'), Neymar (53'), Kimpembe (81')
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
PSG
2-0
Monaco
Mbappe (12' pen., 45')
Mbappe (19'), Gueye (74'), Verratti (89')

Sidibe (11'), Fofana (17'), Maripan (63'), Martins (73')
May 19, 2021 8.15pm
Feb 21, 2021 8pm
PSG
0-2
Monaco

Gueye (45'), Kimpembe (50'), Paredes (57'), Mbappe (90+2')
Diop (6'), Maripan (51')
Tchouameni (15')
Nov 20, 2020 8pm
Monaco
3-2
PSG
Volland (52', 65'), Fabregas (84' pen.)
Fofana (36'), Fabregas (87')
Mbappe (25', 37')
Pereira (20'), Ruiz-Atil (80'), Kimpembe (88')
Diallo (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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