Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.