Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Nantes |
40.25% ( 0.18) | 26.79% ( 0.01) | 32.96% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.08% ( -0.09) | 53.92% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.63% ( -0.08) | 75.37% ( 0.08) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.71% ( 0.06) | 26.29% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.58% ( 0.07) | 61.42% ( -0.07) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( -0.18) | 30.66% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( -0.21) | 66.9% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |