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Manchester United logo
Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 4, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Old Trafford
Brighton logo

Man Utd
2 - 1
Brighton

Rashford (62'), Greenwood (83')
Cavani (63'), Greenwood (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Welbeck (13')
Gross (42'), White (66')

Preview: Manchester United vs. Brighton & Hove Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Manchester United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Manchester United will be looking to respond to their disappointing FA Cup exit prior to the international break when they host Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.

The Red Devils lost 3-1 to Leicester City in the quarter-finals, but they sit second in the league heading into this weekend's fixtures.

Brighton, meanwhile, are six points above the relegation zone after beating fellow strugglers Newcastle United 3-0 in their most recent outing.


Match preview

Harry Maguire in action for Manchester United on March 11, 2021© Reuters

United have had a fortnight to stew on their loss at the King Power Stadium, which leaves them effectively fighting for silverware on just one front.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's men take on Granada in the first leg of their Europa League quarter-final next week and that tie must now take priority.

The Red Devils have too much work to do in the league if they are to chase down leaders Manchester City, who are 15 points better off after playing a game more.

That is despite United winning back-to-back matches in the league, against City and West Ham United, and going nine without defeat in the competition.

Solskjaer will have to be happy with the tag of 'best of the rest' given the Citizens' incredible form over the past five months.

United have a good chance to tighten their hold on second place this weekend as their FA Cup conquerors Leicester, the side directly below them, face Man City on Saturday.

Brighton & Hove Albion defender Lewis Dunk celebrates scoring against Southampton on March 14, 2021© Reuters

If Brighton are to pull off an upset at Old Trafford then they will have to find a way through United's solid defence, which has now gone four league games without conceding.

The Seagulls will be in confident mood, though, having followed up a 2-1 win at Southampton with a 3-0 victory at home to Newcastle in their last two games.

Graham Potter's men were in serious relegation trouble after losing three in a row prior to this winning run, but they have a six-point buffer on the dropzone and should be okay.

Two more wins from their remaining nine matches could be enough to seal a place in the Premier League for another year, though one of those wins is unlikely to come this weekend.

Albion have lost their last five meetings with United in all competitions and have failed to win at Old Trafford in 12 attempts, losing the last six of those.

Manchester United Premier League form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

Manchester United form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W


Team News

Manchester United's David de Gea pictured on February 21, 2021© Reuters

The biggest selection call for Solskjaer to make this weekend is in goal, where David de Gea is back in contention following the recent birth of his child.

Dean Henderson has filled in for United's last six games, but the England international may well have to make way here.

Anthony Martial suffered an injury on international duty, but knocks sustained by Marcus Rashford and Mason Greenwood do not appear to be serious enough to keep them out.

Defender Victor Lindelof is United's other fitness concern, so Eric Bailly could partner Harry Maguire in the heart of defence.

As for Brighton, Aaron Connolly was injured while away with the Republic of Ireland, which will likely see him miss out at Old Trafford.

Former Man United forward Danny Welbeck has scored and assisted in his last two outings and is expected to partner Neal Maupay in attack.

Florin Andone, Solly March, Adam Webster and Tariq Lamptey are all definitely out.

Manchester United possible starting lineup:
De Gea; Wan-Bissaka, Bailly, Maguire, Shaw; Pogba, Fred; James, Fernandes, Rashford; Cavani

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; White, Dunk, Burn; Gross, Bissouma, Lallana, Moder; Trossard; Maupay, Welbeck


SM words green background

We say: Manchester United 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Solskjaer will be targeting a return to winning ways to kickstart an important month, with the priority being progression in the Europa League.

Brighton have won back-to-back league games and are close to securing safety, but we cannot see past a routine home victory on Sunday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Man Utd vs Brighton

Manchester United
80.0%
Draw
9.6%
Brighton & Hove Albion
10.4%
125
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Manchester United manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on March 18, 2021
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2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
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4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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