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Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Columbus Crew
0 - 0
Philadelphia


Mensah (1'), Zelarayan (36'), Hurtado (39'), Santos (43'), Moreira (59')
FT

Elliott (39'), Bedoya (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 30 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 1-2 Philadelphia Union

 Given the recent form of Columbus, there is an argument that this game should be regarded as a straight 50-50. However, we cannot ignore that Philadelphia have lost just twice in the MLS this season, leaving us to predict a narrow win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
52.57% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 24.45% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 22.98% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.33% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7% (-0.244 -0.24)50.3% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (-0.217 -0.22)72.25% (0.22099999999999 0.22)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)19.09% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (-0.128 -0.13)50.71% (0.133 0.13)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.21 -0.21)36.56% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.214 -0.21)73.35% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 52.56%
    Philadelphia Union 22.98%
    Draw 24.45%
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.57% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.03% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.98%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia

Columbus Crew
28.6%
Draw
17.1%
Philadelphia Union
54.3%
35
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
1-0
Columbus Crew
Room (2' og.)
Sullivan (79')

Moreira (66')
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-0
Columbus Crew
Elliott (25'), Bedoya (46'), Flach (89')
Wagner (35'), Powell (74'), Santos (77')
Wagner (64')

Santos (66')
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
Columbus Crew
Monteiro (24')
Real (72'), Flach (84')

Matan (43'), Wormgoor (51')
Apr 18, 2021 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Philadelphia

Diaz Espinoza (56'), Kitchen (64')

Glesnes (40'), Monteiro (61'), Santos (75'), Bedoya (89')
Nov 1, 2020 8.30pm
Columbus Crew
2-1
Philadelphia
Artur (37'), Nemeth (84')
Valenzuela (71')
Monteiro (57' pen.)
Glesnes (72')
rhs 2.0
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