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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
May 23, 2022 at 3am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Philadelphia Union

Portland
0 - 2
Philadelphia


Chara (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (5'), Santos (48')
Harriel (18'), Carranza (81'), Burke (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: LA Galaxy vs. Portland
Saturday, June 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 Philadelphia Union

 The onus is more on the home side to take the initiative as they go in search of consecutive victories in front of their fans. However, the visitors are no pushovers, and we are backing them to secure a point in what should be an enthralling contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawPhiladelphia Union
51.59% (0.766 0.77) 24.24% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 24.16% (-0.823 -0.82)
Both teams to score 53.34% (-1.046 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.71% (-0.971 -0.97)48.29% (0.971 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.56% (-0.895 -0.9)70.44% (0.898 0.9)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)18.71% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93% (-0.121 -0.12)50.06% (0.123 0.12)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.62% (-1.226 -1.23)34.38% (1.228 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (-1.335 -1.34)71.09% (1.337 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 51.59%
    Philadelphia Union 24.16%
    Draw 24.24%
Portland TimbersDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.316 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.59%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.16%

How you voted: Portland vs Philadelphia

Portland Timbers
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Philadelphia Union
25.0%
16
Head to Head
May 31, 2021 12am
Philadelphia
3-0
Portland
Przybylko (26'), Santos (31'), Elliott (63')
Mbaizo (5')

Zuparic (62'), Bravo (72')
Aug 6, 2020 1am
Philadelphia
1-2
Portland
Wooten (85')
Ebobisse (13'), Blanco (70')
Mar 29, 2020 3.30am
Portland
P-P
Philadelphia
May 26, 2019 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-3
Portland
Przybylko (47')
Elliott (85')
Fernandez (31', 36'), Valeri (87')
Chara (0'), Clark (22')
Aug 5, 2018 4am
Portland
3-0
Philadelphia
Valeri (58' pen.), Asprilla (84' pen.), Guzman (87')

Bedoya (90')
rhs 2.0
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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