We said: DC United 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose have not won an MLS away match against the Eastern Conference since 2019 (2-1 versus Toronto), and their lack of quality on the road has held them back in 2023.
DC, meanwhile, are at their most dangerous when playing in front of their home fans, and an in-form Benteke could be enough to keep them above the playoff line for another week.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.