MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 20:27:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League North | Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Chorley

Tamworth
2 - 1
Chorley

Arlott-John (21'), Finn (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hazlehurst (90+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Tamworth
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawChorley
42.15% (-1.07 -1.07) 26.86% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 30.98% (1.026 1.03)
Both teams to score 50.24% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28% (0.195 0.2)54.72% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96% (0.163 0.16)76.04% (-0.161 -0.16)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.46100000000001 -0.46)25.65% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)60.55% (0.633 0.63)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (0.846 0.85)32.43% (-0.844 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (0.94 0.94)68.95% (-0.93899999999999 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 42.15%
    Chorley 30.98%
    Draw 26.86%
TamworthDrawChorley
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 42.15%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.98%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chester FCChester29167647291855
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe29159550232754
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster27155742212150
4Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton26154737191849
5Brackley Town27154839261349
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2914783630649
7Chorley2713863830847
8Buxton271421145351044
9Darlington28111073327643
10Hereford UnitedHereford2711883628841
11Spennymoor TownSpennymoor28911845351038
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports28108103434038
13Alfreton TownAlfreton2610793433137
14South Shields26113124240236
15Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath2889114040033
16SouthportSouthport2789102938-933
17Leamington FCLeamington2695123433132
18Oxford CityOxford City2778123748-1129
19Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2875162752-2526
20Warrington Town28510132237-1525
21RadcliffeRadcliffe2567123147-1625
22Rushall Olympic2974182858-3025
23Marine AFC2757151939-2022
24Needham Market2757152144-2322


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