Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
44.33% (![]() | 23.94% (![]() | 31.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.13% (![]() | 41.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.72% (![]() | 64.28% (![]() |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% (![]() | 19.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% (![]() | 50.76% (![]() |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% (![]() | 25.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.63% (![]() | 60.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
2-1 @ 9.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 3.3% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 11.02% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.53% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 64 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 62 |
3 | York City | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 60 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Gateshead | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 52 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 48 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 46 |
8 | Rochdale | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 43 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 42 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 42 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
14 | Eastleigh | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 38 |
16 | Woking | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 33 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 29 |
21 | Fylde | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 28 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 20 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 31 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 13 |
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