Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
26.24% ( -0.56) | 22.89% ( -0.25) | 50.86% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 60.01% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.53% ( 0.69) | 40.46% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.16% ( 0.71) | 62.84% ( -0.71) |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% ( -0.05) | 28.51% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% ( -0.07) | 64.29% ( 0.06) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.94% ( 0.55) | 16.06% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.57% ( 0.99) | 45.42% ( -0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.51% Total : 26.24% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.55% Total : 50.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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