Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stockport County in this match.