Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.