Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.