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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 27
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Hartlepool United

Oldham
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Stones (3'), Fondop (85')
Hudson (83'), Norman (83'), Fondop (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brennan (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

We said: Oldham Athletic 2-1 Hartlepool United

 Hartlepool will be determined to put things right after losing at home to Oldham earlier this week. Nevertheless, we can only predict a home win, even though the Latics may have to work harder for maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawHartlepool United
41.3% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.53% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 34.17% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.03% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.137 0.14)43.83% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.134 0.13)66.21% (-0.137 -0.14)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71%21.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.151 0.15)25% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.21 0.21)59.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 41.3%
    Hartlepool United 34.17%
    Draw 24.52%
Oldham AthleticDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hartlepool
1-3
Oldham
Grey (4')
Onariase (81')
Stones (9'), Norwood (16', 64')
Sutton (53'), Lundstram (74'), Raglan (90+2'), Stones (90+3')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Hartlepool
0-0
Oldham
McGahey (6'), Clarke (38'), Hart (45+3'), Diarra (73')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Oldham
0-0
Hartlepool
Jameson (80'), Piergianni (87')
Ferguson (42'), Liddle (73'), Sterry (90+3')
Mar 19, 2013 7.45pm
Oldham
3-0
Hartlepool
Yves Mvoto Owono (27'), Simpson (17'), Baxter (69')
Nov 20, 2012 7.45pm
Hartlepool
1-2
Oldham
Sweeney (65')
Humphreys (21'), Horwood (90')
Austin (76')
Baxter (17', 90')
Montano (32'), Croft (51'), Derbyshire (65'), Baxter (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet37257579324782
2York City36218768353371
3Forest Green RoversForest Green371914457302771
4Oldham AthleticOldham371614754391562
5Gateshead361791065471860
6Halifax TownHalifax351611843331059
7Rochdale331671048291955
8AltrinchamAltrincham3515101056441255
9Southend UnitedSouthend361313104640652
10Eastleigh371313114944552
11Tamworth371212134757-1048
12Sutton UnitedSutton351211124746147
13Solihull MoorsSolihull36137165254-246
14Yeovil TownYeovil371210154150-946
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool371015124347-445
16Braintree TownBraintree36119163948-942
17Woking35914123849-1141
18Aldershot TownAldershot34913125256-440
19Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red36812164753-636
20Fylde35106194267-2536
21WealdstoneWealdstone34811154258-1635
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead3697204168-2734
23Boston UnitedBoston34710173551-1631
24Ebbsfleet37111252680-5414
> National League Full Table


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