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Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 23
Dec 11, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Torquay United

Oldham
3 - 2
Torquay Utd

Crowe (11' og.), Tollitt (64'), Abraham (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Goodwin (52'), Jarvis (68' pen.)
Goodwin (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-1 Oldham
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League

Torquay United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Oldham Athletic 1-1 Torquay United

 There is not too much separating the teams in the league standings, so we expect them to play out a score draw on Sunday. Torquay have been in better recent form, and may have a slight edge, but with the game being at Boundary Park, Oldham should be able to do enough to get a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawTorquay United
51.88% (0.486 0.49) 24.31% (-0.084 -0.08) 23.81% (-0.397 -0.4)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.92% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.19 0.19)18.84% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.312 0.31)50.28% (-0.308 -0.31)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)35.04% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (-0.372 -0.37)71.78% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 51.87%
    Torquay United 23.81%
    Draw 24.31%
Oldham AthleticDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.87%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Oldham vs Torquay Utd

Oldham Athletic
38.9%
Draw
22.2%
Torquay United
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Torquay Utd
0-0
Oldham

Ali (30'), Marshall (50'), McGavin (67'), Wyatt (71')

Hogan (43'), Gardner (55')
Gardner (74')
Apr 23, 2005 3pm
Oldham
1-2
Torquay Utd
Eyres (25')
Owen (51'), Killen (70')
Hockley (41'), Akinfenwa (49')
Hill (76')
Nov 6, 2004 3pm
Torquay Utd
2-0
Oldham
Gritton (71'), Constantine (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379
> National League Full Table


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