MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 00:21:47| >> :600:4440198:4440198:
Germany national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Hungary national football team

Germany
0 - 1
Hungary


Kimmich (25'), Rudiger (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Szalai (17')
Szalai (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Germany and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's UEFA Nations League clash with Hungary.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Germany 5-2 Italy
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: England 0-4 Hungary
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Germany 2-0 Hungary

While Hungary have shown that they can compete with any nation in the world, they are generally harder to beat when playing in front of their vociferous home support. The absence of Sallai could deny them a useful out-ball in transition, and we expect Germany to have too much control and ability in possession for them in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawHungary
58.04% (0.246 0.25) 23.69% (-0.192 -0.19) 18.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.81% (0.451 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.65 0.65)52.8% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (0.553 0.55)74.42% (-0.54899999999999 -0.55)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03% (0.33199999999999 0.33)17.97% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.19% (0.563 0.56)48.81% (-0.56 -0.56)
Hungary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.06% (0.321 0.32)42.94% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.76% (0.271 0.27)79.24% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Germany 58.03%
    Hungary 18.27%
    Draw 23.68%
GermanyDrawHungary
1-0 @ 13.24% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.5% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (0.034 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.03%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.52% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 18.27%

How you voted: Germany vs Hungary

Germany
76.3%
Draw
12.7%
Hungary
10.9%
338
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2022 7.45pm
League A3
Hungary
1-1
Germany
Nagy (6')
Sallai (17'), Gulacsi (86'), Adam (90')
Jun 23, 2021 8pm
Group F
Germany
2-2
Hungary
Havertz (66'), Goretzka (84')
Gundogan (29'), Sane (61')
Szalai (11'), Schafer (68')
Botka (28'), Szalai (64'), Fiola (66')
Jun 4, 2016 5pm
Germany
2-0
Hungary
Lang (39' og.), Muller (63')
Kroos (36')

Kleinheisler (42'), Gera (91')
rhs 2.0
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