Reaction
Gareth Southgate hints at England changes after Iceland win
Gareth Southgate admits a lack of pre-season has presented a fitness challenge for the Nations League matches.
Sep 6, 12:25
Kalvin Phillips to give first England shirt to Marcelo Bielsa
The Argentinian gave his club captain a Newell's Old Boys jersey to mark the midfielder's international call-up.
Sep 6, 09:29
Jordan Pickford suggests referee may have been swayed by earlier decision
Raheem Sterling scored a last-minute penalty for England, with Birkir Bjarnason then blazing over from the spot in stoppage time.
Sep 6, 09:18
Gareth Southgate pleased with England's patience against Iceland
The rusty Three Lions were unable to return with a bang against the well-drilled hosts in Reykjavik - Raheem Sterling scoring the only goal.
Sep 5, 21:38
Raheem Sterling hails England for 'finding a way' to beat Iceland
Raheem Sterling's Manchester City team-mate Phil Foden was handed his England debut.
Sep 5, 20:30
A closer look at Phil Foden's England debut against Iceland
Phil Foden played 68 minutes in Reykjavik.
Sep 5, 20:30
The Match
Match Report
Kyle Walker was sent off and Iceland missed their own late penalty.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash between Iceland and England, including team news and predicted lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how England could line up in Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Iceland.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for England in this match.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | England |
| 23.9% | 25.31% | 50.79% |
| Both teams to score 49.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
