Latvia

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Malta

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Malta had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.