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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Turkey national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Montenegro national football team

Turkey
1 - 0
Montenegro

Kahveci (69')
Guler (65'), Kokcu (90+3'), Ayhan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Brnovic (89'), Osmajic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Turkey and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 3-1 Iceland
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Montenegro

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Montenegro 1-2 Wales
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Turkey 2-0 Montenegro

 Considering the results of both teams in 2024 and their starts in the Nations League, Turkey will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in this fixture. Montenegro have kept only three clean sheets in their last 13 internationals and they may struggle to keep the hosts' fearsome frontline quiet on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Turkey in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Turkey.

Result
TurkeyDrawMontenegro
61.53% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 21.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 17.06% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (0.076000000000001 0.08)45.43% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (0.073 0.07)67.76% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (0.11900000000001 0.12)40.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (0.108 0.11)76.68% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 61.51%
    Montenegro 17.06%
    Draw 21.42%
TurkeyDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 61.51%
1-1 @ 10.17%
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.22%
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 17.06%

How you voted: Turkey vs Montenegro

Turkey
88.2%
Draw
6.2%
Montenegro
5.6%
161
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Montenegro
1-2
Turkey
Beciraj (4')
Osmajic (62'), Vukotic (86')
Akturkoglu (22'), Kokcu (60')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Turkey
2-2
Montenegro
Under (9'), Yazici (30')
Under (37'), Calhanoglu (48'), Celik (77'), Yilmaz (90+2')
Marusic (40'), Radunovic (90+7')
Bozovic (56'), Durdevic (80'), Vujacic (86'), Savic (87')
> Preview
Mar 27, 2018 6.05pm
International Friendlies
Montenegro
2-2
Turkey
Ivanic (45'), Mugosa (87')
Tomasevic (49'), Simic (59')
Under (11'), Yokuslu (24', 23')
Ayhan (16')
rhs 2.0
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