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Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Morecambe

Newport
P-P
Morecambe

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Newport County and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, January 2 at 7.45pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Tranmere
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 3-1 Morecambe

 With Morecambe having improved of late, there is an argument that they are the favourites to overcome their hosts. Nevertheless, given the level of Newport's most recent opponents, we are backing the Welsh side to bounce back with a morale-boosting win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%).

Result
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
39.04% (2.341 2.34) 25.06% (0.18 0.18) 35.9% (-2.524 -2.52)
Both teams to score 57.48% (-0.715 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (-0.896 -0.9)45.99% (0.893 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (-0.855 -0.85)68.29% (0.852 0.85)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66% (0.82900000000001 0.83)23.34% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7% (1.194 1.19)57.29% (-1.197 -1.2)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (-1.767 -1.77)25.02% (1.765 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-2.512 -2.51)59.69% (2.508 2.51)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 39.04%
    Morecambe 35.9%
    Draw 25.05%
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.298 0.3)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.514 0.51)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.514 0.51)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.24 0.24)
3-0 @ 3% (0.316 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.122 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.138 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.04%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.219 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.336 -0.34)
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.375 -0.38)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.362 -0.36)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.319 -0.32)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.9%

How you voted: Newport vs Morecambe

Newport County
41.7%
Draw
41.7%
Morecambe
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Morecambe
0-1
Newport

Tutonda (20'), Edwards (32'), Lewis (74'), Songo'o (89')
Wildig (9')
Baker-Richardson (32'), Mawene (65'), Kamwa (72'), Townsend (80')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
5-3
Morecambe
Wildig (12', 54'), Lewis (18'), Charsley (78'), Palmer-Houlden (90+7')
Wildig (33'), Evans (40'), Jameson (67')
Edwards (31', 74'), Stokes (70')
Tutonda (23')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-2
Newport
Mellon (12')
Major (90+6')
Evans (28'), Palmer-Houlden (57')
Bennett (85')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Morecambe
1-0
Newport
Wildig (68')
Wootton (12')
May 31, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
1-0
Newport
Mendes Gomes (107' pen.)
Mendes Gomes (108'), O'Sullivan (112')

Labadie (96'), Demetriou (120')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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