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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 33.84% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
33.84% ( 1.34) | 25.64% ( 0.28) | 40.53% ( -1.61) |
Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% ( -0.86) | 48.91% ( 0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% ( -0.79) | 71% ( 0.79) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.37% ( 0.42) | 27.62% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.83% ( 0.53) | 63.16% ( -0.53) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -1.18) | 23.88% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% ( -1.72) | 58.08% ( 1.72) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
2 | Notts County | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 52 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 50 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 49 |
6 | Port Vale | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 49 |
7 | Salford City | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 48 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Chesterfield | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 42 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 39 |
13 | Bromley | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 39 |
14 | MK Dons | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 38 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 34 |
19 | Gillingham | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 32 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |