MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 01:18:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 19
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Carlisle United

Newport
vs.
Carlisle

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Newport
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Newport County 2-1 Carlisle United

All of the momentum seems to be with Newport ahead of this clash, and Jardim's side will be confident of securing another three points as their ambitions for the season grow. That being said, Carlisle will be desperate for points and may benefit from the new manager bounce, so the Exiles must be wary if they are to walk away with the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 33.84% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result
Newport CountyDrawCarlisle United
33.84% (1.337 1.34) 25.64% (0.276 0.28) 40.53% (-1.611 -1.61)
Both teams to score 55.09% (-0.528 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)48.91% (0.86499999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (-0.786 -0.79)71% (0.78800000000001 0.79)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37% (0.42100000000001 0.42)27.62% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83% (0.535 0.53)63.16% (-0.533 -0.53)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-1.177 -1.18)23.88% (1.179 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (-1.718 -1.72)58.08% (1.72 1.72)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 33.84%
    Carlisle United 40.53%
    Draw 25.63%
Newport CountyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.392 0.39)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.188 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.313 0.31)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.16 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.53%

Who will win Saturday's League Two clash between Newport and Carlisle?

Newport County
Draw
Carlisle United
Newport County
0.0%
Draw
100%
Carlisle United
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Carlisle
2-0
Newport
Dennis (45+2'), Gordon (57')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Carlisle
1-2
Newport
Patrick (80')
Demetriou (15'), Azaz (65')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Newport
2-2
Carlisle
Telford (27', 30')
Haynes (48')
Upson (66'), Haynes (85')
Riley (1'), Clough (67' pen.)
McDonald (14'), Mellish (22')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 26
Newport
0-0
Carlisle
Dolan (55')
Alessandra (24'), Mellish (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall29185655322359
2Notts County29158647281953
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
4Bradford CityBradford29148739281150
5AFC Wimbledon28147739201949
6Port Vale29131063832649
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe30121263628848
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood2810993935439
13Bromley3091294040039
14MK Dons29115134241138
15Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
17Newport CountyNewport29106134047-736
18BarrowBarrow2997133032-234
19Gillingham2895142532-732
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2879123445-1130
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2968152148-2726
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2956182348-2521


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