MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:18:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
4 - 3
Crusaders

Allen (5', 55'), Cushley (15'), McGuckin (65')
(87'), Gordon (90+1'), Cushley (90+3'), (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Heatley (27'), Clarke (45+2'), Lowry (57')
Larmour (64'), (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Larne
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 3-0 Ballymena
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
21.23% (-0.514 -0.51) 23.17% (0.124 0.12) 55.6% (0.38399999999999 0.38)
Both teams to score 53.06% (-1.132 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-1.152 -1.15)46.87% (1.145 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-1.083 -1.08)69.12% (1.077 1.08)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.69% (-1.147 -1.15)36.3% (1.139 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (-1.179 -1.18)73.09% (1.173 1.17)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.277 -0.28)16.69% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42% (-0.495 -0.5)46.58% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 21.23%
    Crusaders 55.6%
    Draw 23.16%
Carrick RangersDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 6.14% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.57% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.88% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.23%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.42 0.42)
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.71% (0.288 0.29)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.59% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 55.6%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
2-1
Carrick
Lecky (59'), Kennedy (90+6')
Lecky (63' og.)
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Crusaders
0-0
Carrick

O'Rourke (28'), Heatley (56'), Caddell (58')

Cushley (51'), Gordon (57'), Cherry (61')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
0-2
Crusaders

Anderson (51'), Kelly (53'), Cushley (55'), Surgenor (58'), Ervin (86')
Heatley (69'), Kennedy (75')
(29')
Apr 6, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Crusaders
Friel (64')
Cherry (67'), Friel (90')
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-3
Crusaders
Kelly (10')
Smith (39'), Cherry (63')
McGonigle (12'), Hegarty (48'), Ruddy (56')
Hegarty (25'), Heatley (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811


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