MX23RW : Monday, December 23 10:27:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
1 - 2
Larne

Allen (78')
Forsythe (42'), Crowe (57'), Purkis (64'), Gordon (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (27'), Ryan (76')
Ives (65'), Thomson (77'), Orozco (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Carrick
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Larne

All competitions
Last Game: Larne 1-0 Loughgall
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
12.49% (0.507 0.51) 19.35% (0.531 0.53) 68.17% (-1.035 -1.04)
Both teams to score 46.73% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-1.065 -1.07)45.72% (1.068 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-1.02 -1.02)68.04% (1.023 1.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.33% (0.18 0.18)46.67% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.76% (0.136 0.14)82.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (-0.596 -0.6)12.37% (0.599 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (-1.261 -1.26)38.23% (1.264 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 12.49%
    Larne 68.15%
    Draw 19.35%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 4.4% (0.218 0.22)
2-1 @ 3.5% (0.111 0.11)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 0.93% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.49%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.248 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.259 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 19.35%
0-2 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 12.06% (0.26 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-3 @ 8.78% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-3 @ 6.69% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-4 @ 4.59% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-4 @ 3.5% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.92% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 68.15%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Larne
2-0
Carrick
Cosgrove (16'), O'Neill (84')
Donnelly (32'), Want (65')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Larne
4-1
Carrick
O'Neill (15', 78'), Ryan (31', 44')
Ives (34'), Bolger (44')
Purkis (60')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carrick
2-3
Larne
Cherry (64', 90+1' pen.)
Ryan (61'), O'Neill (75', 79')
Dec 26, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Larne
0-0
Carrick
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Carrick
0-1
Larne
Gordon (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield21152440162447
2PortadownPortadown2010462819934
3GlentoranGlentoran2110472620634
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2110382724333
5CliftonvilleCliftonville209472821731
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena20100102525030
7CrusadersCrusaders208392427-327
8ColeraineColeraine207583230226
9LarneLarne146441612422
10Carrick RangersCarrick1954102030-1019
11GlenavonGlenavon2147101730-1319
12Loughgall2134142251-2913
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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