Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 54.44%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.