MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 17:00:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 17
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
4 - 1
Newry City AFC

Lusty (6'), Galvin (27', 35'), Devine (69')
Glenny (9'), Devine (82')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Salley (44')
Forde (27'), Mooney (49'), Poynton (55')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 2-3 Carrick
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawNewry City AFC
48.71% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 22.89% (-0.399 -0.4) 28.4% (0.312 0.31)
Both teams to score 61.94% (1.689 1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (2.12 2.12)38.75% (-2.119 -2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.95% (2.203 2.2)61.05% (-2.201 -2.2)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.831 0.83)16.2% (-0.829 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.32% (1.493 1.49)45.68% (-1.492 -1.49)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (1.296 1.3)26.09% (-1.294 -1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (1.711 1.71)61.15% (-1.708 -1.71)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 48.71%
    Newry City AFC 28.4%
    Draw 22.88%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawNewry City AFC
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.563 -0.56)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.306 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.218 0.22)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.125 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.144 0.14)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.191 0.19)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.437 -0.44)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.184 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.076 0.08)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.4%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Newry City AFC
2-2
Dungannon
O'Connor (14'), Carroll (85')
McKeown (28'), O'Connor (53')
Devine (16', 45+2')
Scott (36'), Dillon (40'), Owens (54'), Scott (76')
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dungannon
2-1
Newry City AFC
Moore (13'), Animasahun (90+2')
Teelan (40')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Newry City AFC
0-2
Dungannon
Walsh (42'), Knowles (59' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Dungannon
2-0
Newry City AFC
McGee (29'), Knowles (67')
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield15102332141832
2CliftonvilleCliftonville158342215727
3GlentoranGlentoran167361814424
4Ballymena UnitedBallymena168082020024
5CrusadersCrusaders147251814423
6Dungannon SwiftsDungannon167272121023
7PortadownPortadown156452117422
8ColeraineColeraine166462422222
9LarneLarne126331510521
10GlenavonGlenavon163671122-1115
11Carrick RangersCarrick153391528-1312
12Loughgall1632111838-2011


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