Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.