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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 12
Jun 24, 2021 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
Columbus Crew

Philadelphia
1 - 0
Columbus Crew

Monteiro (24')
Real (72'), Flach (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Matan (43'), Wormgoor (51')

Preview: Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A crucial game takes place at the top of the Major League Soccer Eastern Conference on Wednesday, as Philadelphia Union play host to Columbus Crew.

The hosts currently occupy third spot, having won three of their last four games, while their opponents sit just one point behind with a game in hand.


Match preview

Philadelphia Union head coach Jim Curtin walks onto the field before match against the New England Revolution on May 12, 2021© Reuters

Philadelphia come into this game in a strong run of form, having not lost any of their last six league outings, collecting 14 points in that time.

Before the recent three-week break at the beginning of June, they had recorded back-to-back victories, firstly defeating DC United 1-0 in Washington thanks to Kacper Przybylko's goal on the stroke of half time.

They then thrashed Portland Timbers 3-0 on home turf, as Przybylko again got on the scoresheet alongside goals from Sergio Santos and Jack Elliott.

The Union looked set to fall to a defeat upon their return to action on Sunday though, as they were losing 2-0 away against Atlanta United going into the final 10 minutes, as Przybylko scored an own goal before Anton Walkes doubled the hosts' lead in the 82nd minute.

However, Jim Curtin's men did not go down easily, as they immediately pulled a goal back through Cory Burke before centre-back Jakob Glesnes rifled in a 93rd-minute equaliser from long range to snatch a vital point for his side.

That saw them remain in third spot in the Eastern Conference, while sitting level on points with second-placed Orlando City and one point ahead of Wednesday's opponents in fourth spot.

They will look to pick up another important victory on Wednesday to stretch that gap between themselves and the chasing pack, while their visitors will aim to take three points home to leapfrog Curtin's side.

Columbus Crew head coach Caleb Porter reacts on May 23, 2021© Reuters

Before the recent international break, Columbus Crew started to build momentum with consecutive wins, first defeating New York City 2-1 away from home as Lucas Zelarayan netted a brace in the final 10 minutes to snatch all three points, after their hosts had led for the majority of the encounter.

They then won by the same scoreline at home to Toronto, as Luis Diaz and Gyasi Zardes got on the scoresheet before Ayo Akinola pulled a goal back for the visitors early in the second half, but they may have been concerned that the break would halt their improvement.

That turned out not to be the case, though, as the Crew defeated Chicago Fire on home turf last time out upon their return to league action.

A Zardes brace inside the first half meant they were in the driving seat throughout, and they stayed in control for a comfortable 2-0 victory, making it three consecutive MLS wins for Caleb Porter's men.

That run has seen the Ohio outfit rise to fourth spot in the Eastern Conference, and they are quickly gaining momentum in their bid to retain the title, now comfortably inside the playoff spots.

With Wednesday's opponents just one point ahead, having played a game more, the trip to Philadelphia presents a great opportunity for Porter's men to break into the top three, helping their playoff draw if they are able to remain at the top end of the division for the remainder of the regular campaign.

Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Columbus Crew Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Columbus Crew head coach Caleb Porter reacts against the Seattle Sounders in the second half during the 2020 MLS Cup Final at MAPFRE Stadium in December 2020© Reuters

Philadelphia Union come into this game without important midfielder Jose Martinez, who is away on international duty with Venezuela at the Copa America.

In his absence, Alejandro Bedoya, Leon Flach and Jamiro Monteiro should continue to form the midfield three, with Anthony Fontana playing just in front.

Meanwhile, Brazilian veteran Ilsinho and Jack De Vries will miss out through injury, having both been absent since the first game of the season.

Their line will be led by Kacper Przybylko, who has been in clinical form this season, netting eight goals in 13 appearances in all competitions.

Columbus Crew remain without several players through injury, as Milton Valenzuela, Aidan Morris, Perry Kitchen and Luis Diaz are all out of action.

They will be led by experienced forward Gyasi Zardes, who netted a brace last time out to fire his side to a 2-0 win.

Meanwhile, the back four of Harrison Afful, Josh Williams, Jonathan and Pedro Santos should remain unchanged after a convincing clean sheet in that victory.

Philadelphia Union possible starting lineup:
Blake; Mbaizo, Glesnes, Elliott, Wagner; Bedoya, Flach, Monteiro; Fontana; Przybylko, Santos

Columbus Crew possible starting lineup:
Bush; Afful, Jonathan, Williams, Santos; Fraser, Nagbe; Etienne, Zelarayan, Matan; Zardes


SM words green background

We say: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Columbus Crew

With both sides coming into the game in strong runs of form, this could definitely go either way, and we cannot quite split them on this occasion.

Both teams have shown themselves to be solid defensively, which we see resulting in a low-scoring draw on Wednesday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Columbus Crew

Philadelphia Union
17.6%
Draw
52.9%
Columbus Crew
29.4%
17
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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