We said: Arsenal 2-0 Burnley
Whether Burnley's COVID-hit contingent are ready to return or not, their lack of recent action could work against them, especially versus an Arsenal side more determined than ever to pick up their first win of 2022.
Dyche will certainly instruct his side to expose Arsenal's midfield frailties while the hosts' naughty step remains well-occupied, but the Gunners' bright, youthful attacking forces should propel their side to a much-needed three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 13.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.