Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.