Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.