Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.