Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.