Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.4%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 5.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.79%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.