Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.