We said: Newcastle United 1-3 Liverpool
An altered Liverpool XI coupled with Newcastle's stellar run both in recent weeks and at home in 2022 means that a shock result is not beyond the realm of possibility this week, and at the very least, the Magpies should find a way through the Reds' backline here.
However, Klopp's side were thoroughly professional in midweek, and the German coach has a wealth of top-quality options to freshen the team up, so we can only picture the Merseysiders temporarily returning to the summit with all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.