Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
AVS0 - 1Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 0-1 AVS
Sunday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Porto
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
We said: AVS 1-1 Arouca
Arouca's recent defeat may have been nothing more than a blip against a stronger Porto side, leaving them well-positioned to take something from this encounter. However, AVS's hard-fought victory could provide a major confidence boost, but with the visitors proving difficult to beat — aside from their recent setback — a tight contest is expected, with a low-scoring draw appearing the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for AVS had a probability of 24.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arouca in this match.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Arouca |
24.08% ( 0.3) | 24.66% ( 0.19) | 51.25% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -0.48) | 50.1% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -0.43) | 72.07% ( 0.43) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( 0.01) | 35.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.79% ( 0.01) | 72.2% ( -0) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( -0.38) | 19.54% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.55% ( -0.63) | 51.45% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
AVS 24.08%
Arouca 51.24%
Draw 24.65%
| AVS | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.08% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 51.24% |
