Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, February 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, February 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Goals
for
for
57
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, February 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, February 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Arouca
While both sides are enjoying strong league form, Sporting are expected to claim victory this weekend, given their formidable home record this season and their dominance in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Arouca |
61.31% ( 0.09) | 20.15% ( -0.01) | 18.53% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( -0.06) | 37.11% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.69% ( -0.06) | 59.31% ( 0.06) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.3% ( 0.01) | 11.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.19% ( 0.02) | 36.8% ( -0.02) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( -0.11) | 33.39% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.98% ( -0.12) | 70.02% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon 61.31%
Arouca 18.53%
Draw 20.15%
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.3% Total : 61.31% | 1-1 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 18.53% |
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca
Sporting Lisbon
96.7%Draw
3.3%Arouca
0.0%30
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 8.30pm
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Form Guide
