Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca2 - 2Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Porto
Sunday, February 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Arouca 2-1 SC Farense
With what is at stake, this should not be viewed as a certain win for Arouca. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to come through with the three points, albeit in a close game that may see a late goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | SC Farense |
54.26% ( -0.18) | 25.71% ( 0.1) | 20.03% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.03% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.02% ( -0.27) | 57.98% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% ( -0.21) | 78.67% ( 0.21) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( -0.19) | 21.45% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.52% ( -0.29) | 54.47% ( 0.28) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.05% ( -0.08) | 43.94% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.92% ( -0.06) | 80.08% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 54.25%
SC Farense 20.03%
Draw 25.71%
| Arouca | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.99% Total : 54.25% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.03% |
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2023 8.15pm
