Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 33.99% and a draw has a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.13%).