Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI
Boavista0 - 3Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Boavista
Monday, September 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, September 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Boavista 1-3 Benfica
Fresh off the back of a positive result in the Champions League, Benfica will return to league action full of confidence as they look to put together a strong early-season form. While we expect Boavista to put up a fight in front of their home supporters, Lage's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are tipping them to secure all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
18.6% ( -0.28) | 23% ( -0.02) | 58.4% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
