Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
47.9% ( 0.15) | 26.49% ( -0.04) | 25.62% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.04% ( 0.06) | 55.97% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.94% ( 0.05) | 77.06% ( -0.05) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( 0.1) | 23.39% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( 0.14) | 57.38% ( -0.14) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.69% ( -0.06) | 37.31% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.91% ( -0.06) | 74.1% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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